Agree. It’s an insightful and honest paper about how to represent intrinsically unpredictable work. Remarkable how much nuance has been lost or denied since the 1950s.
“Anyway, you should absolutely go read Program Evaluation Research Task (PERT) Summary Report - Phase 1, it’s eye opening how forward looking the project was, and how much we’ve lost, and then poorly reinvented, since then.”
https://bitworking.org/news/2025/03/applying-the-fundamental-axioms-to-reduce-uncertainty/